WSPR Take-off Angles — M7SQI

Plots were generated from received WSPR spots.

What the viewer showed

Each point represented a WSPR spot. From the great-circle distance, a take-off angle (TX elevation) was inferred by assuming ionospheric “mirror” hops at a virtual height. Colours encoded the inferred hop count; shapes indicated propagation/time: ■ Es, ● F (day), × F (night). Point opacity reflected fit confidence. A light grey vertical band marked the Es–F overlap region (where classification was less certain).

How the angles were calculated (ham-science summary)

  1. Per-band Es/F split. Short-range distance histograms were smoothed and a threshold was selected; values were then clamped to a sensible range. On 6 m a higher threshold was adopted, because paths there were typically Es.
  2. F single-hop spacing (μ). The distance histograms exhibited a comb at multiples of an underlying hop length. A seed μ was estimated from that periodicity, refined by minimizing the spread of distance mod μ, and finally tuned by a short grid search per band and for day/night.
  3. Heights. Virtual reflection heights of approximately 340 km (F, day), 280 km (F, night), and 110 km (Es) were used.
  4. Hop count. For F-mode, n ≈ round(D/μ) was used with guards against sub-hop artefacts and unrealistic values. For 6 m, multi-hop Es counts were optionally reported using a nominal Es hop length.
  5. Geometry. The take-off angle was the elevation that reached one hop of D/n at the chosen virtual height on a spherical Earth. No path loss modelling was applied—this was geometry only.

This approach was geometry-rigorous but ionosphere-approximate; it was appropriate for interpreting which angles were likely used by the spots actually observed.

Reading the results

Limits & uncertainty

Single virtual heights, equal hop lengths, and great-circle propagation were assumed; off-great-circle tilts, ducts and full ray-tracing were not modelled. Median take-off angles were expected to carry a small systematic uncertainty (a few degrees), which was acceptable for band-to-band comparisons. Known outliers and implausible distances were capped or excluded to avoid misleading tails.


Angle distribution by band

Boxplot: take-off angle distribution by band (wavelength order)
Bands were sorted by wavelength. The boxplot summarized the distribution of inferred take-off angles for WSPR spots; medians near the low-angle regime were consistent with DX-friendly radiation patterns on the higher HF bands.

Distance vs take-off angle (per band)

40 m: distance vs take-off angle (colours=hops; shapes=Es/day/night)
40 m: colour = hop count; ■ Es, ● F day, × F night; opacity = hop-fit confidence. The grey band marked the Es/F overlap region. Typical points favoured higher take-off angles than the higher HF bands, consistent with shorter per-hop ground ranges. The accompanying histograms and “k·μ” markers supported the chosen hop spacing while revealing seasonal and diurnal variability.
40 m hop-count histogram 40 m distance histogram 40 m F-fit confidence histogram
40 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 40 m distance mod μ (day) 40 m distance mod μ (night)
20 m: distance vs take-off angle
20 m: long-range spots concentrated at low angles across several hops, typical of multi-hop F propagation. The distance histogram showed clear teeth at multiples of μ, and the “distance mod μ” plots tightened around zero at those hops.
20 m hop-count histogram 20 m distance histogram 20 m F-fit confidence histogram
20 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 20 m distance mod μ (day) 20 m distance mod μ (night)
17 m: distance vs take-off angle
17 m: distributions were similar to 20 m, with low-angle clusters at longer distances and a clean comb structure in the histogram. Day/night μ values generally differed modestly, reflecting the reduced F-peak height at night.
17 m hop-count histogram 17 m distance histogram 17 m F-fit confidence histogram
17 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 17 m distance mod μ (day) 17 m distance mod μ (night)
15 m: distance vs take-off angle
15 m: hop bands were often the most distinct; the smoothed histogram’s peaks and troughs supported a stable μ estimate. Low-angle points dominated the longest paths, consistent with efficient F-layer multi-hop at higher HF.
15 m hop-count histogram 15 m distance histogram 15 m F-fit confidence histogram
15 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 15 m distance mod μ (day) 15 m distance mod μ (night)
12 m: distance vs take-off angle
12 m: seasonal changes in ionization influenced the balance between Es and F; when F supported longer paths, the low-angle region again carried most of the distance.
12 m hop-count histogram 12 m distance histogram 12 m F-fit confidence histogram
12 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 12 m distance mod μ (day) 12 m distance mod μ (night)
10 m: distance vs take-off angle
10 m: during high solar activity, long F-mode paths appeared at very low angles; at other times, Es dominated the shorter ranges. The diagnostics visualized this regime switching via μ stability and confidence.
10 m hop-count histogram 10 m distance histogram 10 m F-fit confidence histogram
10 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 10 m distance mod μ (day) 10 m distance mod μ (night)
6 m: distance vs take-off angle
6 m: hop counts for Es were shown for interest using a nominal Es hop length; most long-range events were Es (and sometimes TEP). The histograms often showed strong peaks around single- and double-hop Es ranges.
6 m hop-count histogram 6 m distance histogram 6 m F-fit confidence histogram
6 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 6 m distance mod μ (day) 6 m distance mod μ (night)
80 m: distance vs take-off angle
80 m: propagation is dominated by low-angle F-layer refraction, with strong night-time enhancement and typical single- to multi-hop paths. Short-range signals are often consistent with high-angle NVIS, while longer paths reflect classic multi-hop F propagation. The histograms tend to show clustering at shorter NVIS distances and broader spreads corresponding to multi-hop night-time DX.
80 m hop-count histogram 80 m distance histogram 80 m F-fit confidence histogram
80 m distance histogram with k·μ markers 80 m distance mod μ (day) 80 m distance mod μ (night)

Where the ionosphere numbers came from

The ionosphere is measured continuously by national and international networks; those measurements informed the typical heights and day/night behaviour used here. Key sources include:

These external datasets motivated the simple geometric assumptions (e.g., typical F/Es heights). They were not measured by the author of this page.